Horned Loch-Whale

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Azorius Control ignotus97 7-2 None

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
-6.8%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
72.8%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
+0.5%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
18
decks
Tournament Results
5
1st place
6
top 8
Average Copies
3.1
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Horned Loch-Whale ranks #390 out of approximately 406 cards in raw efficiency (top 96%).

Game Impact Factor
68.43
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
-3.27%

Blue average: 72.0%

Performance compared to other Blue cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Horned Loch-Whale is an underperforming card in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 1

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
11.3
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
0.15x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 3.78 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 6 mana, the average win rate in the format is 77.3%. Horned Loch-Whale has a win rate of 68.0%, making it 12.1% worse than other 6-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Essence Scatter Instant 12 83.7% 5
Boon-Bringer Valkyrie Creature — Angel Warrior 34 69.5% 15
Elspeth, Storm Slayer Legendary Planeswalker — Elspeth 5 59.5% 1
Obstinate Baloth Creature — Beast 98 56.3% 23
Devout Decree Sorcery 84 55.7% 22
Stock Up Sorcery 155 55.2% 41
Wilt-Leaf Liege Creature — Elf Knight 114 54.0% 28
Kutzil's Flanker Creature — Cat Warrior 39 52.9% 11
Destroy Evil Instant 51 52.9% 14
Beza, the Bounding Spring Legendary Creature — Elemental Elk 166 52.5% 42

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Horned Loch-Whale than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Kutzil's Flanker Creature — Cat Warrior 3 8 75.6% 72.8% +2.8%
Sunfall Sorcery 5 10 73.4% 70.8% +2.7%
Deduce Instant 2 13 71.2% 68.7% +2.6%
Elspeth's Smite Instant 1 14 69.5% 68.9% +0.6%
Destroy Evil Instant 2 11 70.6% 70.8% -0.2%
Boon-Bringer Valkyrie Creature — Angel Warrior 5 9 71.2% 72.0% -0.8%
No More Lies Instant 2 18 68.0% 69.6% -1.6%
Tishana's Tidebinder Creature — Merfolk Wizard 3 18 68.6% 70.5% -1.9%
Rest in Peace Enchantment 2 16 67.0% 69.3% -2.3%
Get Lost Instant 2 18 68.0% 70.6% -2.6%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Azorius Control 160 42.1% 52.0%
Izzet Hellraiser 12 75.0% 28.0%
Unknown Archetype 9 2.5% 59.8%
Dimir Control 6 8.2% 29.9%
Azorius Flash 2 0.9% 75.0%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.